Category Archive : FTSE Analysis

Monday 7th December – Morning

Just looking at the charts below, here were my observations at the open:

  • On the daily chart the market was trading below the 20MA, although we had seen the market push up from previous support on Friday, and potentially this looks like a good area to bounce up from
  • On the hourly chart the FTSE seems to be trading in an upwards sloping channel, and quickly dipped back down to tested the bottom of that channel at the open
  • On the 5 minute chart, the market had been trading in a tight range overnight, then headed lower and bounced off support at approx. 6249 (one of the pink lines drawn on the chart prior to the open).

FTSE 07122015 AM

As I look at the chart now, price has come off an intraday resistance level at 6283 (a red line on the chart that was drawn a few minutes ago). I think that we could be range-bound between the 6249 & 6283 levels for most of the day.

Looking at my economic calendar, BOE Governor Mark Carney is scheduled to speak this afternoon at 3pm, so expect some volatility at the end of the day.

Review of Friday afternoon

The market remained in positive territory till it promptly sold off around 1:45pm and eventually fell back to the intraday support level around the 6420 level. I managed to get long again off a MACD divergence pattern, coupled with the fact that price was testing the support level for the third time (triple bottom).

FTSE 04122015 PM

Friday Morning

After the sell off yesterday, my plan was to look for any continuation patterns and short any pullbacks to the previous days highs, lows or support and resistance levels. Don Miller trades this way on what he calls MATD (morning after trend day) and I had that very much in mind before the open.

Managed to stay out of the market most of the morning and then saw a textbook setup – pullback to the 20 MA and at the same time the MACD histogram bars were decreasing and looking to go from red to green. Instead of going short I’ve gone long looking for the market to continue upwards till lunchtime, or when the US markets open.

FTSE 04122015 AM

 

Afternoon Analysis

Well the market rarely does what you think it will do and this afternoon was a good example. There was the ECB announcement this afternoon followed by a speech by the Fed in the afternoon. The result was a bit of a carnage in the afternoon with the markets selling off (due to a fear of interest rates going up).

News03122015

I’m a price action trader so the news or fundamentals don’t really matter to me. What does matter is how price behaved  after the news and how best to trade it.

When news has this kind of effect on the markets, the best thing to do is get on board the train! Look for potential pullbacks to key support / resistance levels, or pullbacks to the moving average as shown in the chart below.

FTSE 03122015 PM